Saturday, September 18, 2004

Another Bark without Bite?

Fox News reports that the United Nations' International Atomic Energy Agency has given an ultimatum to Iran. Fox News has jumped the gun on this one in its use of the word 'ultimatum'. The actual wording is closer to 'strongly urging' Iran.

The situation is the same as it has been for so long: The UN has 'experts' look at various things relating to the given situation. These experts then bring the findings to a meeting and from there a bunch of unelected bureaucrats talk about what should be done.

Strangely enough, there is nothing binding with the Iranian 'ultimatum', nor is there a specification for action if this 'ultimatum' were to expire (November). So by January this board, this committee will be up in arms acting all shocked that Iran did not follow the directive.

'Then what???' you might ask -- as if you do not know.

We'll have 17 or so more of these or the next twelve long years. That's once scenario, but there is another much more hopeful scenario that I am hoping to see take place: Israel takes action.

Tammuz, or Osiraq, or even Osirak depending on who you are, was the nuclear facility that Begin eliminated for the sake of not only Iran who was directly engaged in a war with Iraq, but also for Israel since we now can see exactly how much Saddam did in fact sympathize and support terrorists intent on destroying Israel.

Soon it may be time for Sharon to step up to the plate and I anticipate that the strongest of actions will make Iran a nuclear-free zone for many decades to come.

Also, by having Israel do this job and not the US we run less of a risk of getting China even more nervous as times move forward. China's close ties with Iran, its resentment and paranoia about so many western (read: US) troops in Afghanistan, and what is perceives to be a large powerplay by the US to up the regional influence in the Middle and Far East all add up to a delicate situation with the large nation.

One could also hope the perhaps Russia might decide to take an interest in Iran, but this is perhaps too hopeful at this time.

In light of the words the UN has for Iran we are left not wondering what Iran might do, but what the UN might do once November comes and goes.